The Cross-Border Biotech Blog

Biotechnology, Health and Business in Canada, the United States and Worldwide

Category Archives: Biotech Valuation Series

Some Partnering Basics: Part 16 of Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries

[Ed. This is the sixteenth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] If partnering is basically the process of selling an asset, the first step is to let people know [...]

Partner, Sell, or Go it alone: Part 15 of Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries

[Ed. This is the fifteenth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] This is a discussion that the management and board of a company need to start as the company [...]

Assessing Potential Market Share for a New Drug: Part 14 of Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries

[Ed. This is the fourteenth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] In the previous post, we looked at epidemiology and pricing to estimate the market size for a new [...]

Potential Rewards from Successful Drug Development: Part 13 of Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries

[Ed. This is the thirteenth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] Finally we have reached the point of looking at the potential rewards from successful drug development. The potential [...]

Expansion and Diversification Strategies in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Part 12 of Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries

[Ed. This is the twelfth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] Brand, human prescription drugs is the core business of the pharmaceutical industry. Risk can be diversified and potential [...]

Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries – Part 11: Changes in Pharmaceutical Industry Product Portfolios and Strategies

[Ed. This is the eleventh part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] As described in the prior post, the modern pharmaceutical industry has evolved from the patent medicine companies selling [...]

Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries – Part 10: Some Pharmaceutical Industry History

[Ed. This is the tenth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] Very few novel drug development companies have made, or are likely to make, the transition to profitable and [...]

Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries – Part 9: Retail Investors

[Ed. This is the ninth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] In addition to the private institutional VCs, there are the retail investors who are willing to take similar [...]

Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries – Part 8: The Current State of Healthcare Venture Capital

[Ed. This is the eighth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] The world of healthcare VCs has changed dramatically in the two decades which I have spent in capital [...]

Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries – Part 7: Funding the Cost of Developing a New Drug

[Ed. This is the seventh part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] Assuming that the average direct cost of developing a new drug through regulatory approval will be at least [...]

Valuation and other biotech mysteries – Part 6: The cost of developing a new drug

[Ed. This is the sixth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] The Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development has been the source of the most comprehensive studies [...]

Valuation and other biotech mysteries – Part 5: More strategy and structure for Phase 3 clinical trials

[Ed. This is the fifth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] In the previous case study, we looked back at Theratechnologies and theFDA approval of EGRIFTA™ (tesamorelin for injection). [...]

Valuation and other biotech mysteries – Part 4: Strategy and structure for Phase 3 clinical trials

[Ed. This is the fourth part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] Very few independent Canadian biotech companies have successfully completed the development of a novel drug – so my [...]

Valuation and other biotech mysteries – Part 3: What are you valuing?

[Ed. This is the third part in Wayne's series. You can access the whole thing by clicking here. Please leave comments or questions on the blog and Wayne will address them in future posts in this series.] Most likely you will be valuing a company, a product or a technology. The valuation of the stream [...]

Valuation and other Biotech Mysteries Part 2: Some Basic Mathematics

[Please note that this blog series has not been pre-written. The subject of the next post in the series will be determined by where the current post leaves off and any questions that readers send me or leave as comments on the posts.] When you create a valuation spreadsheet, you are plugging in numbers representing [...]

Valuation and Other Biotech Mysteries – Part 1

I have been doing valuations in various forms since 1981 when I started my MBA at York University. There are major differences between those initial valuations and the ones that I have been doing as a biotech stock analyst over much of the last 20 years. Those initial valuations were for assets or profitable companies, [...]

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